VeniVediV1ci wrote:i don't even know why i continue, but it was on pace for 12 points after the first quarter, and 46 at halftime. Both are simple math.
Either would have covered my number, and you still think you had that locked up? UK got some big plays in the 3rd quarter and equaled their scoring in the first 30 minutes in a 15-minute span. That's what quality teams do, which UK is not, and even then watching that game anyone would say that they had no chance to hit that over barring some ridiculous plays.
The 28, 56 and 30-yard touchdowns in the 2nd half are not unheard of, but compared with the way the game was going you got extremely lucky.
If you continue to make wagers like that you won't be a winner, but that shouldn't be anything different than the program you follow or just your nature.
And I want to apologize for flying off the handle a bit, but I'm not sure you deserve it. I don't promote a "system" anywhere, I simply have a blog with my plays and you can see them if you'd like.
I'm currently 8-10 on the year, which is slightly above 31%, but I'm never going to tolerate you gloating about a bad beat. If you seriously don't recognize that as one of the luckiest wins you'll have this year, then there's not much to say. I'd give you a $10,000 limit right now if you want to take games over 50 when it's 3-0 after a quarter.
Apology accepted.
I saw your blog yesterday (you posted it in another thread where I teased you about not posting your picks) and I could've sworn it showed your NCAA picks at -15 units or something, and a low 30%. You've been at 50% or higher the other two years so I noticed it was much lower than normal.
Like I said, I watched the game from start to finish. The only time I started thinking we wouldn't get to the over was midway through the 4th--when Joker started calling dives and punting. We should've had multiple scores in the first quarter, but our guys were playing lazy (looking ahead to Florida maybe?) and once Joker lit into them between the 1st and 2nd quarters, we exploded and like I said....23 points after two, 43 points after three.....I'd have taken almost any bet that we would make the over.
But my original point was...why would you bet the under when we put up 68 points the week before against Western Kentucky, a team that, having seen both play, I would put money on beating Akron. It made no sense.
S14: N Texas 7-1
S15: Wake 8-5
S16-21: Washington 9-4, 10-3, 8-5, 9-4, 7-6, 6-7
S22: Ohio 8-5
S23: ECU 12-2
S24-26: Kentucky 8-5, 5-7, 5-7
Career: 102-61