Politics and stuff

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GeorgesGoons
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by GeorgesGoons »

shel311 wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:02 pm I really don't understand these states being called with no votes reporting or even with 1 dude ahead early but it's called for the other guy.
we know California is going democrat and we don't need one vote. There is zero question regarding it being in play
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by nick »

line is dropping fast. lookin like 4 more yrs
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shel311
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by shel311 »

Trump now the favorite on Bovada, -110.
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GeorgesGoons
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Re: Politics and stuff

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I will say, if you enjoy political coverage on election night, CNN does a great job
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Re: Politics and stuff

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GeorgesGoons wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:16 pm I will say, if you enjoy political coverage on election night, CNN does a great job
I flip between commercials but love their Big Wall or whatever it’s called as they go county by county.

Love it.

Floribama never lets the Red down. Huge sigh of relief for Trump as if he lost Florida he’s pretty much done.
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by nick »

shel311 wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:10 pm Trump now the favorite on Bovada, -110.
Bovada keeps being used (not just you but i see on twitter) but they just follow Pinnacle.

pinny has Joe Biden -138 / Trump +115

but its dropping fast.
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by GeorgesGoons »

nick wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:18 pm
shel311 wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:10 pm Trump now the favorite on Bovada, -110.
Bovada keeps being used (not just you but i see on twitter) but they just follow Pinnacle.

pinny has Joe Biden -138 / Trump +115

but its dropping fast.
I wish I understood betting more. What does this mean? Dropping fast?
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by nick »

so betting lines

- infront = you spend x amount to win 100
Ex: (-250) = $250 to win $100 (plus your 256 back obv)

+ infront = you spend $100 to win the + amount
ex: (+156) = $100 wins $156 (plus your 100 back obv)

Well earlier Trump was +200 which was spend 100 to win 200.. now hes +115 so spend 100 to win 115.. way less money but usually indicates where the money/results are going

that said Biden just moved up some points to -150. Gonna come down to Pennsylvania, Mich and Wisky.
Last edited by nick on Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by GeorgesGoons »

138M voted in 2016 (58.1% of voting eligible adults). I bet we hit close to 150M this election
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by nick »

its a shame that every person doesnt vote. ppl are dying in 2020 who wish they were even given the option to vote.
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Re: Politics and stuff

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nick wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:26 pm so betting lines

- infront = you spend x amount to win 100
Ex: (-250) = $250 to win $100 (plus your 100 back obv)

+ infront = you spend $100 to win the + amount
ex: (+156) = $100 wins $156 (plus your 100 back obv)

Well earlier Trump was +200 which was spend 100 to win 200.. now hes +115 so spend 100 to win 115.. way less money but usually indicates where the money/results are going

that said Biden just moved up some points to -150. Gonna come down to Pennsylvania, Mich and Wisky.
thanks
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Re: Politics and stuff

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I still think if Trump has a chance he needs to get close to (or above) 15% of the black vote in Penn, NC, Ohio, Michigan, Florida to win those races
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Re: Politics and stuff

Post by nick »

Biden going back up.. -170... -185 now
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Re: Politics and stuff

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nick wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:33 pm Biden going back up.. -170... -185 now
Due to Ohio and NC at this time.
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Re: Politics and stuff

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Cnasty wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:36 pm
nick wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:33 pm Biden going back up.. -170... -185 now
Due to Ohio and NC at this time.
Love CNN's talk on the early vote in NC. Biden had a 300k(ish) lead on early voting but they expect the early vote to only make up ~75% of the total vote
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Re: Politics and stuff

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Cnasty wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:36 pm
nick wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:33 pm Biden going back up.. -170... -185 now
Due to Ohio and NC at this time.
NC was projected on 538 like an hour ago. Holy shit Biden might win Ohio :|. and also has a 66%-33% lead in Penn.
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Re: Politics and stuff

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Fox and NYT varying wildly on their projections.

Fox has NC at 88% Biden while NYT has NC at 71% Trump.

NYT has a forecast on 3 battleground states, all 3 favor Trump by a good margin. Fox has Biden 4 for 4 on forecasted battleground states.
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Re: Politics and stuff

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nick wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:41 pm
Cnasty wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:36 pm
nick wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:33 pm Biden going back up.. -170... -185 now
Due to Ohio and NC at this time.
NC was projected on 538 like an hour ago. Holy shit Biden might win Ohio :|. and also has a 66%-33% lead in Penn.
10% of the vote in Penn, not too worried yet. Could be the early vote like the NC count.
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Re: Politics and stuff

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Trump loses Ohio and NC we can all go to bed.
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Re: Politics and stuff

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shel311 wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:42 pm Fox and NYT varying wildly on their projections.

Fox has NC at 88% Biden while NYT has NC at 71% Trump.

NYT has a forecast on 3 battleground states, all 3 favor Trump by a good margin. Fox has Biden 4 for 4 on forecasted battleground states.
Vegas sides with Trump on all these states except for PA I believe.
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