NDL Forum

ReignOnU wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 3:48 pm https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/statu ... 9878523907

NYC is going to shut down schools starting Monday. Never thought I'd see Nate Silver publicly criticizing the decisions of dems.

Unreal

On my November finance call now... fun stat, take it how you'd like...
"Flu treatment scripts are currently running at 20% of LY volume right now"

Ya cause people are wearing masks and not getting the flu. Infectious specialist said this a month+ ago on the startalk podcast.

nick wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 6:23 pm Ya cause people are wearing masks and not getting the flu. Infectious specialist said this a month+ ago on the startalk podcast.

So the US is doing a good job masking up?

Good to hear!

nick wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 6:23 pm Ya cause people are wearing masks and not getting the flu. Infectious specialist said this a month+ ago on the startalk podcast.

They can't have it both ways. Good job masking up, flu is down. COVID is up, mask up people!

The lockdown worked so well last time. Let’s do it again!!

The US, as a whole, is pretty obviously being wayyyy more cautious now than we were in March/April when it first spiked, and how's that working out?

Cases are probably 5-6x higher now than they were then, masking up ain't stopping anything, it's just kicking the can down the road til later. Unless we planned to maskup/lockdown until the vaccine is ready, and F that.

shel311 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:31 pm The US, as a whole, is pretty obviously being wayyyy more cautious now than we were in March/April when it first spiked, and how's that working out?

Cases are probably 5-6x higher now than they were then, masking up ain't stopping anything, it's just kicking the can down the road til later. Unless we planned to maskup/lockdown until the vaccine is ready, and F that.

cases are up but death rate is down....hmmmm

Regular flu u can infect ppl usually in a 2-4 day window if that and you’re usually visibly sick when you spread it. Covid you can spread for up to 2 weeks without knowing you have.

nick wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 8:01 pm Regular flu u can infect ppl usually in a 2-4 day window if that and you’re usually visibly sick when you spread it. Covid you can spread for up to 2 weeks without knowing you have.

Cool story. Now tell us something we all don't know.

GeorgesGoons wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 8:08 pm

nick wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 8:01 pm Regular flu u can infect ppl usually in a 2-4 day window if that and you’re usually visibly sick when you spread it. Covid you can spread for up to 2 weeks without knowing you have.

Cool story. Now tell us something we all don't know.

But you conveniently ignore the part about how deaths lag weeks behind spikes in cases

Crowes wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 10:21 pm

GeorgesGoons wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 8:08 pm

nick wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 8:01 pm Regular flu u can infect ppl usually in a 2-4 day window if that and you’re usually visibly sick when you spread it. Covid you can spread for up to 2 weeks without knowing you have.

Cool story. Now tell us something we all don't know.

But you conveniently ignore the part about how deaths lag weeks behind spikes in cases

And you conveniently fail to realize that deaths are actually down from the peak of the spring/summer time frame

ReignOnU wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 10:50 am Not defending the idea here, but we may want to wait to pass judgement on it until the summer.

A herd immunity strategy is going to produces way more deaths early in the cycle. Distancing strategy will delay spread and deaths, hopefully long enough to find better treatments. But no one can definitively answer what occurs if our treatments aren't better. Do we spike later? Do we see multiple waves? Do we enact longer restrictions? Then at what point do you weigh economic impact?

Been awhile since I posted this one. Feels like most of it still applies.

herd immunity has never happened in the history of life without a vaccine. You need like 75% of the population to have the disease for herd to even happen so in the US thats like 275 million? ya lol good luck.

herd immunity against measles requires about 95% of a population to be vaccinated. The remaining 5% will be protected by the fact that measles will not spread among those who are vaccinated. For polio, the threshold is about 80%

Data on higher learning institutes would be interesting to see from their perspective. Both state schools in Washington have had outbreaks and have sent kids home. The schools that are testing and monitoring infections are having success keeping the spread down but 90% i would estimate are virtual learning so there is incomplete data.

I want to go back to sports and school but the “science and spread” isnt allowing it here. They moved potential Hybrid Learning to 2nd semester and the start of sports to Feb 1st. Not sure they are going to let us go back with the “metrics” we are now using.

The spike here in Omaha has been contact traced back to big box stores, Costco, Sam's, Walmart, Home Depot...etc.

They are talking about shutting stuff down again here. I just hope they shut all those down, and include fast food places as they are not essential. Only open Walmart up for food, baby and pet supplies and that is it. No more Best Buy, home improvements or anything like that. These big box stores needs to feel the pain of the small businesses that have been forced to close their doors. I'm all for closing everything up but it needs to be everything that isn't essential, and that Big Mac isn't essential nor is the new ceiling fan.

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo will receive an Emmy for his leadership during the pandemic.


New York has the 2nd highest Deaths per 1 million out of the 50 US states.

They were also hit hard first when no one knew what was going on

America had 166 000 new cases today?!?!!!? What...the...fuck